Analysing Personal Public Service Number data over time and by cohorts – what administrative records reveal about how different groups of migrants enter, engage with, and remain in Ireland’s labour market.
Published: February 6, 2026 · Series: Enterprise Intelligence
Administrative data helps us see how migration to Ireland actually works over time. A PPSN is one of Ireland’s most useful migration data assets: Every foreign national who registers to live, work, study or access public services receives one, and their subsequent employment and welfare activity is then observable through the same administrative system. Analysed by cohort and nationality group, these records move beyond one-off population snapshots to show how different pathways into Ireland actually play out in the labour market over years.
This analysis draws on three sources:
For each cohort year and each nationality group, FNA01 shows: The total number of PPSNs issued to foreign nationals aged 15 and over; the number of people with no recorded employment or social welfare activity since receiving a PPSN; and the number with employment or welfare activity in each subsequent calendar year. Using this structure, we examine inflows, activity over time, inactivity, and the composition of work-related non-EU migration through the permit system.
The CSO FNA01 cohort data runs to 2018, so the activity analysis necessarily reflects conditions up to 2018 rather than the most recent period. Employment permit data runs to 2025 and is updated more frequently. “Activity” means any employment or social welfare record in a given calendar year, not continuous employment.
PPSN allocations to foreign nationals increased sharply in the early to mid-2000s, peaked at 200,450 in 2006, fell during the financial crisis, and then recovered steadily through the late 2010s. The earlier surge was driven mainly by nationals from the 2004 EU accession states (EU15–EU25 grouping), while more recent inflows increasingly come from outside the EU and from the newer accession states (EU25–EU28).
Source: CSO Foreign National Activity (FNA01), table extracted November 2025.
Three phases stand out clearly: The period from 2004 to 2007 was dominated by the EU15–EU25 accession wave, peaking at 127,538 allocations in 2006 alone. The financial crisis of 2008–2012 produced a sharp fall across all groups. From 2013 onwards, allocations recovered, with “Other nationalities” (non-EU, non-UK) becoming the largest group – a structural shift reflecting the increasing role of the employment permit system, international students, and family migration.
These inflow numbers are important, but they do not show whether people quickly enter work, stay engaged over time, or leave Ireland. That becomes clear only when we look at activity after PPSN allocation.
To understand engagement after arrival, PPSN cohorts are followed forward and measured for employment or social welfare activity in each later year. Results are shown as years since PPSN allocation, and the figures are weighted to reflect cohort size.
Source: CSO FNA01. Note: Each lag uses only the cohorts for which activity data is observable up to 2018; later lags rest on fewer cohorts. We cut the curve at lag 10 as data beyond becomes too thin for reliable comparison across all groups.
Main patterns apparent include:
| Pattern | Nationality groups | Characteristics |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term labour migration | EU15–EU25 (2004 accession) | Fast entry into work; highest activity rates; sustained engagement 10 years after arrival. |
| Moderate but lasting engagement | Other nationalities; EU25–EU28; UK | Activity in the 40–55% range at most lags. Mix of permit holders, students transitioning to work, family migrants. UK shows a distinctive slow-start, long-stay pattern. |
| Short-term or limited engagement | EU15 ex Irish/UK; US nationals | Lower activity at most stages. EU15 cohorts decline steadily suggesting shorter stays. US activity stays lowest throughout, consistent with student and short-stay patterns. |
Employment permits apply only to non-EEA nationals and therefore fall almost entirely into the “Other nationalities” category in CSO terms, with a small US component. They are the cleanest available measure of labour-driven migration from outside the EU.
Source: Department of Enterprise, Tourism and Employment – Employment Permit Statistics.
The permits data shows four clear phases:
This helps explain the activity patterns seen in the CSO data. As a larger share of non-EU arrivals come to Ireland specifically to work, later PPSN cohorts within “Other nationalities” are more likely to remain active over time, even if some individuals initially arrive for study or family reasons.
The post-2022 step change in employment permits – holding near or above 40,000 in 2022 and 2024 – is the most direct indicator of structurally tight labour market conditions in Ireland. Permit holders arrive with a confirmed job offer, making them among the most employment-active of all new arrivals. The 2025 dip to 31,044 reflects administrative and policy change rather than a fundamental shift in underlying demand.
The composition of PPSN inflows has changed alongside these activity patterns.
Source: CSO FNA01. Each column sums to 100%.
This shift matches the move from a mainly EU labour-migration model to a broader system combining work permits, education, family migration and shorter stays.
Some PPSN holders never appear in employment or welfare records, particularly in the years immediately following allocation.
Source: CSO FNA01. The rising rate for the most recent cohorts reflects the shorter follow-up window rather than a worsening trend.
Having “no activity to date” does not mean someone is unemployed or inactive in everyday terms. Common reasons include:
These factors matter most for UK and US nationals: The UK no-activity rate for the 2018 cohort was 63.5% and the US rate was 60.7%, compared with 26.5% for EU15–EU25 and 34.4% for Other nationalities. This is consistent with their different migration profiles (dependants, students, short-term visitors, professional secondments) rather than an indication of labour market exclusion.
Eurostat data on first residence permits suggests that education accounts for a higher share of first permits in Ireland than in most EU countries. This series is flagged by Eurostat as low reliability for Ireland and is therefore not used as core evidence here, but it is consistent with the broader finding that education plays an important role in bringing people to Ireland and helps explain slower initial activity entry for some non-EU cohorts.
PPSN allocations show when people arrive in Ireland. Activity data shows what happens afterwards. Employment permits show which non-EU arrivals are coming specifically to work. Together, these data show a clear shift: From a mid-2000s EU enlargement wave with fast entry into work and long-term attachment, to a more varied system where work permits, education, family migration and short-term movement all play a role.
The key change is not just in the size or origin of inflows, but in how people engage with Ireland’s labour market over time. The sustained volume of employment permits since 2022 – even after the 2025 dip to 31,044 – suggests that future non-EU cohorts are likely to show strong and sustained employment patterns once newer FNA01 activity data becomes available. A single “migration” lens is insufficient for thinking about this: Different arrival pathways produce different labour market outcomes on different timescales, and this matters for workforce planning, public services and policy design.
1. Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ireland – Foreign National Activity (FNA01)
data.cso.ie – FNA01
2. Department of Enterprise, Tourism and Employment (DETE) – Employment Permit Statistics
enterprise.gov.ie – Employment Permit Statistics
3. Eurostat – First residence permits by reason (supporting context only; Irish series flagged as low reliability)
EU15–EU25 (2004 accession): Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia.
EU25–EU28: Romania and Bulgaria (joined 2007), Croatia (joined 2013).
EU15 excluding Irish/UK: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden.
“Other nationalities” (shown in CSO tables as “Other nationalities (5)”) covers all non-EU, non-UK nationalities – predominantly the cohort captured by employment permits.